LONDON (Reuters) – Analysts and merchants have lower their forecasts for autocatalyst metals platinum and palladium because the coronavirus outbreak curtails car gross sales, however they nonetheless anticipate costs for each to rise progressively via 2021, a Reuters ballot confirmed.
Platinum and palladium are used primarily in engine exhausts to cut back emissions. Platinum can also be utilized in jewelry.
Years of undersupply pushed palladium to report highs above $2,800 an oz. this yr, whereas surpluses have stored platinum close to multi-year lows.
Costs plunged in March because the coronavirus choked financial exercise however have since recouped some floor as China rebounds.
Palladium – which value round $2,070 an oz. on Tuesday – will common $2,050 this yr and $2,138 in 2021, in line with the median consequence from a ballot of 32 analysts and merchants.
The same ballot in April forecast averages of $2,100 this yr and $2,150 in 2021.
Platinum – presently round $840 an oz. – will common $832 this yr and $913 in 2021. The ballot three months in the past predicted averages of $836 an oz. for 2020 and $945 for 2021.
Graphic: Platinum and palladium costs –
Palladium is prone to stay in deficit whereas platinum will likely be oversupplied, analysts mentioned.
“Auto sector restoration is vital for platinum costs, as we doubt jewelry demand will see any revival this yr,” mentioned ANZ analyst Soni Kumari.
“The market is flipping from a deficit in 2019 right into a surplus of 480,000-500,000 ounces in 2020.”
Palladium use in China has remained strong and there may very well be a pick-up in speculative shopping for, which has remained very low, mentioned VTB Capital analyst Dmitry Glushakov.
Reporting by Peter Hobson and Sumita Layek; modifying by Pratima Desai and Susan Fenton